PLAYER’S GUIDE – HIGH 5 EDITION – SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 16 BY – MICHAEL ANTONIADES The Woodbine/Mohawk mandatory payout presents an incredible opportunity for those interested in value and the possibility of a sky high payout. Historically, on force out night, an extraordinary amount of money is wagered into the high five pool. With a carryover of $583,607 I can estimate a final pool of $2,000,000. including the carryover. A low 15% takeout throughout the run of this wager is the reason the carryover has exceeded $500,000. Listed below the mathematics behind the wager demonstrating why this wager is advantageous to the player this Saturday. As you can see, even with a final pool of $4,000,000, there is more money paid out than wagered. This is an example of negative takeout. It is the wagering opportunity players dream about. Mandatory Payout High Five Wager .20 cent minimum 15% takeout Carryover $ 583,607 Estimated final pool $2,000,000. Common Races: 9/9 Race 12 NW $22,000 Last 5 #2 & 3 9/9 Race 13 NW $14,000 Last 5 #1,7, 8, 9, 10 & 12 9/8 Race 7 NW $8,700 Last 5 #4 & 11 Race 12 (Saturday, September 16) – High Five Analysis Top contenders: 8 – Codename Cigar Box: Draws outside but has the early tactical to overcome this post at a price. First over last week after being parked the mile two starts back, beaten a little more than two lengths. He needs early position to win. 7 – No Free Lunch: Has an explosive late kick, but will need others to set the table for him. He’s been a little erratic, the bulky field the hot pace he needs is certainly possible. His best can get the job done. 2 – HP Momentum: Love his form coming in to the race. He’s coming off of a gallant first over effort against better company. The two post in a twelve horse field may force him to leave. Off of his current form he might be the one to beat. 1 – Century Heineken: Similar to the above, don’t like the inside spot. He followed the winner up the rail in his previous start. I’m not convinced he can use his early speed to an advantage from here. He is the biggest question mark of the race. 12 – American History: Definitely my wild card of the race. Owns back class with career earnings nearing $1,700,000. He set suicidal fractions in the Gold Cup and Saucer. He just missed at this level in his last start. A clever steer from the second tier could get the job done. 4 – Points North: Classy eight year old veteran moving up in class off of a win. Don’t let that fool you, he’s beaten better before. He could change tactics from here making him a solid contender. Secondary contenders: 5 – Ron: Middle spot seems perfect for this four year old. I’m not sure he’s fast enough to win this. He took a shuffle after leaving in his last and hung a bit coming to the wire. He needs to prove himself at this level. 3 – Commanding Officer: This will be his third start off the layoff. He wasn’t a factor last start from the outside post. He has earned class relief returning to the level where he was a boxed in tenth two starts back. A possible player. 6 – Rockme Rollme: This guy romped against a much cheaper field in 149.4. Tonight he is returning to the level where he was trounced two starts back. He needs to show more to be competitive here. 11 – Highlandbeachlover: He’s been terribly unlucky as he was parked the mile in his last two outings. He moves up in class with the possibility that this trailing post position will work to his advantage. 9 – Toronto: He shows a nice closing final quarter of 26.1 in his last start. He continues to draw poorly in his third consecutive start at this level. He’ll need some luck to overcome this post. 10 – Sometime Somewhere: I’m sure the people that watch replays saw that he never was clear in his last start. That being said, it’s hard to imagine a winning strategy from here. Perhaps the bottom of the ticket. Share This:Share
