Top Pick: #3 Notorious Gangster Wildcard: #2 William T Longshot: #4 Scorching $20 in Wagers: $.20 Super using 1-3-4 / 1-3-4-12 / 1-2-3-4-12 / 1-2-3-4-9-12 ($16.20) $.50 Tri using 3-4-12 ($3.00) $.20 Super using 3-4 / 3-4 / 2-3-4-12 / 2-3-4-12 ($.80) A Closer Look at the Field 1-Mansetti ~ last work coming into this was real nice and there’s clearly not too much of a distance limitation, but he’s never won back-to-back and the losses are not by small margins, though they all have strong excuses to line-through 2-William T ~ lone gray in the field which will be a draw for new bettors ~ Frosted is having a real resurgence as a stallion this year, which is great to see and this colt is curious because he’s not done anything wrong in four starts and finally put it all together last out in a proper romp, so gotta wonder how much more of a developmental jump is he about to take 3-Notorious Gangster ~ dude’s won closing and on the front end, and has run crazy well (and well beyond his age) despite troubled trips 4-Scorching ~ frontrunner’s never been outta the money and I have to appreciate a training job that’s perfectly put him in spots to showcase his abilities 5-Mythical Man ~ Danny Gargan is a smart horseman so if he’s willing to try synthetic for the first time on this big a stage then he sees something we don’t and I actually like this is the second start off the winter vacay 6-Faber ~ steps back up into stakes company after some good efforts against tough Allowance foes and I think he has more speed than he’s been showing, so hopefully he’s ridden way more forward 7-Runaway Again ~ makes total sense that when you freak in your debut, you get supplemented to the biggest stage, but it also makes it hard on handicappers because they had all the time in the world to prep for the first start and now have to replicate that success on a month’s turnaround 8-Dewolf ~ really good0looking colt who was pretty precocious and definitely has ability, but what’s his record if he’d have gotten fewer troubled trips and is that a him thing or racing luck 9-Watsonville Red ~ closer fits a personally preferable angle for playing longshots where it takes a while for the lightbulb to go on and then another few to figure out how to be competitive against winners, and this is a pedigree that should get better with age 10-No Time ~ selfishly, I always love the idea of the filly in the Plate ~ she’s having a year that justifies Johnny V shipping in to keep the mount, but she’s not gonna get the lead all to herself and I fear she spits the bit when headed 11-Tom’s Magic ~ cool to see totally US-based form and connections taking the chance and shipping north, especially since there’s one lone forgettable, totally troubled trip in the record 12-Sedburys Ghost ~ totally understandable form when the line-through races are the debut and first time against stakes company, so this is definitely a gelding who will only improve with seasoning 13-Ashley’s Archer ~ Coltimus Prime’s lil half-bro intrigues for minor awards cuz there’s definitely grit there, but I think we’re on the wrong surface today so let’s talk more when we’re back on the lawn * @MollyJoRosen Share This:Share